U.S. midterms: Key factors of the 2018 elections

U.S. midterms: Key factors of the 2018 elections

Democrats' 3-point lead among all registered voters is down from an 8-point lead in the previous poll, which was conducted October 25-30.

That's a slimmer edge than the party held in CNN's final poll before the 2006 midterm elections and similar to the Republicans' 10-point advantage just before the 2010 midterms.

Recognizing that the concern about pre-existing conditions has galvanized voters regardless of party, Republicans have seized on it in the campaign's closing month, insisting that their plans would enshrine such protections.

US Senator Chris Van Hollen, who heads the Democratic Senate campaign arm, said it was "remarkable" that Democrats were even in striking distance of capturing the Senate given the unfavourable map they faced.

In order for either party to take control in the House of Representatives they need to win 218 or more seats.

But in the first mid-term under Trump - an utterly unconventional president - there are many unknowns, above all the bottom-line impact of a president who has driven both supporters and foes to a rare fever pitch of emotion.

Trump told the crowd in Georgia to turn out to vote, joking that he "wouldn't say" the election is "as important as '16, but it's right up there".

When asked how much they have been thinking about certain political figures when considering how to vote, 13 percent of voters said they were thinking "a lot" about Pelosi when considering their vote, and a 43 percent plurality said they were not thinking about her "at all" - including 53 percent of Republicans. The midterm elections are Tuesday.

Among likely voters, a majority, 52% say they strongly disapprove of the way the president is handling his job, 35% say they strongly approve of his work as President, and just 11% of those likely to vote on Tuesday say they don't have strong views on Trump.

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Democrats are far better positioned for reclaiming a majority in the House, experts and polls say.

He says, "We should vote people in and out, not shout them in and out".

Trump is also hammering away at the anxieties of women voters. Trump's response to the court decision was to call Kemp's campaign "extraordinary" and attack his Democrat opponent Stacy Abrams. That stands at 37% among Republicans.

The two parties are also known by their logo colours, the Republicans red and Democrats blue. If Trump manages to pull off a victory in terms of retaining control of one or both Houses, it will be seen as a validation of his stand that poor migrants and refugees from other countries are a threat to the peaceful life of the American people and send out a clear message to the world on what the original "country of migrants" now thinks on that issue.

Adding to the fear-mongering are Republican-led conspiracy theories about Jewish billionaire philanthropist George Soros helping finance the caravan of Central American migrants.

The Republican Party now controls the chamber with a 43-seat majority, but it is widely expected that the Democrats will gain control in tomorrow's election.

"I've been involved in scores of conversations about stopping illegal immigration from Mexico, and never once has there been a discussion of the political impact in USA domestic politics", Pompeo said. "We are the Democratic Party", he said. That's about the same as said so in a CBS News poll conducted shortly after a Republican member of Congress was shot during a June 2017 Congressional baseball practice for a charity event.

Democrats led with likely African-American voters (84pc to 8pc), Latinos (57pc to 29pc), voters between the ages of 18-34 (57pc to 34pc), women (55pc to 37pc) and independents (35pc to 23pc).

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